New Poll Shows John Edwards Has Lead In Iowa


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There are new numbers by InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion Poll that shows John Edwards has again taken the lead in the race for president in Iowa.  There has been wide speculation that the attacks by the Hillary Clinton campaign against Barack Obama, and the resulting responses would benefit the candidacy of Edwards. 

The numbers released on Tuesday show that to be the case.

Edwards leads with 30 percent in a poll of Democratic voters who said they intend to participate in the Jan. 3 presidential caucuses, followed by Clinton with 26 percent and Obama with 24 percent. When the sample was narrowed to the most likely caucus-goers, based on several questions, Obama leads Edwards by less than a percentage point with 27 percent, with Clinton in third place at 24 percent.

Edwards holds a significant advantage, however, among a group who could be key to the first contest of the presidential year: those who say their first choice is someone other than the top three. Under Iowa Democratic Party rules, candidates who poll less than 15 percent in the first vote at each caucus around the state are eliminated, and their supporters get a second chance to vote for another candidate.

Under both screens, Edwards leads as the second choice of these voters, with Clinton trailing Obama.

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