Dixville Notch Votes a Tie For Jon Huntsman And Mitt Romney

Republican voters in Dixville Notch, the New Hampshire town with a registered population of 75 people, are doing what at midnight what they always do on Election Day.

Voting at  the Balsams Grand Resort Hotel.

Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney and former Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman each won two votes of the nine cast in the contest. Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich and U.S. Rep. Ron Paul (R-Texas) each received one vote. Three Democratic ballots were cast for President Barack Obama.

Readers may be interested in the prediction I made for the New Hampshire primary late Sunday night.

Dixville Notch has voted first in the state’s primary election since 1960.

How Did I Get On Scott Walker’s White List?

Imagine my surprise this afternoon when I discovered in my mailbox a request from Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker for me to send him money for his fight in the upcoming recall election.

Given the opening sentence I was almost certain that the college drop-out-of-a-Governor had written the letter all by himself.

“The Wisconsin Democrat Party is following through on their months-long threat;they’re launching a recall election against me.”

I know that if I was about to get my ass handed to me I sure as heck would want to know precisely who was making the delivery.  In this case let me inform our public employee bashing Governor that it will be the Democratic Party that will be ushering him and his family off the grounds of the Maple Bluff  mansion later this year.  (Get some nice sunset views while you can, Scott.)

Furthermore, there was never any threat made by anyone in this state against Governor Walker. 

No, it was a promise.

One that we intend to keep.  (See we can all use bold lettering in our writings.)

The letter that urges me to help stop out-of-state liberal interests failed to mention that Walker himself has crept into the political bed of some very conservative fat cats that live outside of the Badger State.  It is amusing how soon one forgets little things like that when urging recipients of the letter to help raise a quick $600,000.

The signature from Scott Walker at the end of the two-page letter is more a hen scratching than a legible name.  I will just assume that Walker was clubbing a public employee, and could not pay full attention to the signing.

Oh yeah Scott, my check has already been mailed out—to the recall organizers.

I intend to make sure the next mailing to the White List will be about Walker needing funds for moving boxes.

Bain Capital And Mitt Romney

Even the Wall Street Journal can not make this story look good for Mitt Romney.

The concern I have had about the investment firm Bain Capital and the role Mitt Romney had in it, is the lack of investigation and vetting of the candidate over this matter.  While I am glad some of this about Bain and Romney are coming out now, as in the case of the Wall Street Journal placing this story above the fold, it still must be asked why it took so long.

Amid anecdotal evidence on both sides, the full record has largely escaped a close look, because so many transactions are involved. The Wall Street Journal, aiming for a comprehensive assessment, examined 77 businesses Bain invested in while Mr. Romney led the firm from its 1984 start until early 1999, to see how they fared during Bain’s involvement and shortly afterward.

Among the findings: 22% either filed for bankruptcy reorganization or closed their doors by the end of the eighth year after Bain first invested, sometimes with substantial job losses. An additional 8% ran into so much trouble that all of the money Bain invested was lost.

Another finding was that Bain produced stellar returns for its investors—yet the bulk of these came from just a small number of its investments. Ten deals produced more than 70% of the dollar gains.

Some of those companies, too, later ran into trouble. Of the 10 businesses on which Bain investors scored their biggest gains, four later landed in bankruptcy court.

More Americans Identify As Democrats Than As Republicans

But a record high of 40% identify as independents.

The percentage of Americans identifying as political independents increased in 2011, as is common in a non-election year, although the 40% who did so is the highest Gallup has measured, by one percentage point. More Americans continue to identify as Democrats than as Republicans, 31% to 27%.

In recent decades, Gallup has observed a pattern of increased independent identification in the year prior to a presidential election, and a decline in the presidential election year. The only exception to that was in 1992, when independent identification increased from 1991, perhaps the result of President Bush’s high approval ratings in 1991 and Ross Perot’s independent presidential candidacy in 1992.

Upset Predicted For New Hampshire Republican Primary

Independents and restless conservatives will create chaos for some, and excitement for others come Tuesday night in the New Hampshire Republican Primary.  I am going out on a limb and predicting a major upset.

For the past week the numbers for Mitt Romney in New Hampshire have been falling, as has those for Rick Santorum.  Meanwhile the poll numbers have trended upwards for Jon Huntsman, along with favorable movement for Ron Paul, though there was some leveling off for a period with Paul.

I think the Sunday morning debate for Mitt Romney was horrible, and the main beneficiary of that will be Hunstman.  If the trend lines continue down for Romney, and the upward steam continues with independents flocking to Huntsman then there will be fireworks come Tuesday.  That the Paul campaign is now attacking Huntsman is also a clue as to the movement in this race.

By all accounts the undecideds number somewhere around 15%, and most analysts place those voters as independents and moderate.  If they break for Huntsman in the same percentage as the overall electorate seems to be turning for his candidacy then there is good reason to think that New Hampshire is going to do what it often does.

That is make for one heck of an Election Night.

Rick Santorum proved why a national campaign needs to be in place and ready to unfold when the time comes to make the big push.  This week was one of the worst attempts at offensive positioning in politics that I have witnessed in a long time.  Santorum was unable to move up his game and take advantage of what was handed to him in Iowa.  Debating a high school kid in New Hampshire about gay marriage was just one of the low points from this dismal and morally incorrect candidate.  Tuesday night will serve him right.

I think the names will line up come early Wednesday morning in the following order.

Huntsman  (remember predictions are one of the fun parts of politics)

Romney

Paul

Santorum

Gingrich

Perry (I will send troops back into Iraq…..will someone please just yank this guy back to Texas!)