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The Shrinking All-White Republican Party

April 8, 2015

I have stated over and over one of the root problems of the Republican Party when it comes to national elections is the fact it is more and more a party of white people and not growing demographically to reflect the nation.  While I have urged immigration reform as a sound public policy goal I have also noted over-and-over the move would benefit the aims of Republicans who seek a path to the White House.  Today The New York Times examines the electoral shortcoming of the party in a front page above-the-fold article and uses the example of Senator Rand Paul who is seeking the GOP nomination to make the point.

Senator Rand Paul’s entry on Tuesday into the race for the White House said as much about his own political aspirations as it did about a vexing truth for Republicans: Many of them believe their party is simply not big enough to elect a president in 2016.

Offering a conservative message threaded with a contrarian strain of libertarianism that he hopes will appeal to minority and younger voters, Mr. Paul is taking perhaps the most unconventional and untested route to assembling the broader coalition that many Republicans say they will need to remain a viable national party.

In announcing his candidacy to an animated crowd of 1,500 people of all ages who stood shoulder to shoulder in a downtown hotel ballroom, Mr. Paul said his message was “for all Americans, whether you wear a suit, a uniform or overalls, whether you’re white or black, rich or poor.”

If the party’s next nominee received the same portion of the white vote that Mitt Romney won in 2012 — 59 percent — he or she would need to win 30 percent of the nonwhite vote to be elected, Mr. Ayres writes in his new book, “2016 and Beyond: How Republicans Can Elect a President in the New America.”

Mr. Romney received 17 percent of the nonwhite vote. Even George W. Bush, who made deep inroads among Hispanics, received only 26 percent of the total nonwhite vote in 2004.

 

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