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Presidential Race Likely to Be Fought In The Heartland

March 20, 2016

Hold on Bunky, we are going to be in the midst of the storm.  The Washington Post reports.

After successive campaigns in which President Obama expanded the Democrats’ electoral map options by focusing on fast-growing and increasingly diverse states, a 2016 race between Clinton and Trump could devolve principally into a pitched battle for the Rust Belt.  

Among the 18 states that have been in Democratic hands since the 1992 election are Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Minnesota. Along with Ohio and Iowa, those heartland states are likely to be the most intensely contested battlegrounds in the country if the Trump-Clinton race materializes.

All those states have higher concentrations of white voters, including larger percentages of older, white working-class voters, than many of the states in faster-growing areas that President Obama looked to in his two campaigns.

5 Comments leave one →
  1. March 21, 2016 1:10 PM

    Thanks, Gregory. As a fellow blogger I don’t like to take such liberties without permission.

    It has come to my attention that the estimable Thomas Frank (“What’s The Matter With Kansas?”) has published a new book called “Listen, Liberal” which explores many of the themes I’ve been harping on. Haven’t read it yet, but it’s high on my reading list .

  2. March 21, 2016 12:27 PM

    Always feel free to post as a comment a You Tube link if you desire to underscore your point.

  3. March 21, 2016 11:13 AM

    You are absolutely right about that. But there are signs–in other states, at least–that cracks are appearing in the wall. Check out GOP Louisiana sheriff Newell Normand’s rant at a law-enforcement convention about Bobby Jindal, Republican fiscal idiocy, and Obama-bashing (it’s on YouTube). Really got my day off to a great start.

  4. March 21, 2016 10:24 AM

    Agreed, Peter. That is why there is a growing consensus that the needs of this group in the heartland will be front and center in the fall election. Not to take the side of Dems here, but let us look at just WI, where the state legislature did not in this last year work on any of the job creating bills or efforts put forth by Dems. Repubs had time to spend on restroom restrictions, and ways to allow for large farmers to use more ground water but failed at meeting the underlying problems of our state’s economy.

  5. March 20, 2016 10:50 PM

    I don’t want to keep banging the same old drum, but the GOP best represented today by the likes of Paul Ryan and Scott Walker–and, to a lesser extent, the mainstream Democratic Party– (“NA NA NA NA we’re not listening to you, blue collar America!”) created both Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders. These voters are not going to go away. It’s a warning bell for our nation.

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