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What Happens If GOP Candidate Is Less Favorable Than Mitt Romney?

April 14, 2016

A new Washington Post-ABC News poll finds that 31% of Americans have a favorable view of Donald Trump while 67% are unfavorable — nearly identical to an early March Post-ABC poll which found he would be the most disliked major-party nominee since at least 1984.

Ted Cruz fares better with 36% favorable and 53% unfavorable among the public at-large; his strongly unfavorable mark is 20 percentage-points below Trump’s level (33% for Cruz vs. 53% for Trump).

Now throw in some political history.

Both Trump and Cruz are less popular than Mitt Romney at this point in the 2012 campaign.  This is most problematic for the GOP—in a cycle where they were slated to win based on history and the mood of the nation.

With either Trump or Cruz Republicans are doomed at wining the White House.

One Comment
  1. tom permalink
    April 15, 2016 7:52 AM

    Except that Hillary’s favorable is on a steady decrease, trending downward from its current 39%. I don’t imagine that will change. Cruz, however, has room to grow.

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