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GOP New York Primary Comes Down To This

April 19, 2016

This is the night when all eyes will be watching as the ballots are counted in New York.  For the Republicans it is not just who wins–but by how much–that matters.

The Republican delegates in New York are awarded proportionally for any candidate who receives at least 20 percent of the vote. But if a candidate gets the majority of the vote (more than 50 percent) in each individual congressional district, he will take all three delegates allotted to that congressional district. So if Trump gets more than 50 percent of the vote in each of the state’s 27 congressional districts, he will take all 81 delegates.

On top of that, the remaining 14 at-large delegates are awarded based on the state totals, so if Trump wins a popular majority in the state, he gets those as well, leaving his rivals Sen. Ted Cruz and Gov. John Kasich with no delegates at all.

But let me throw some objective cold -water on those who are hoping for Trump to prevail as president.  Even if Trump reaches some new-high-water mark in the balloting tonight he will only be meeting and not exceeding expectations.  This is after-all his region of the country where he was expected to do well.

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