Paul Nehlan Playing To Fear, Bigotry To Gain Conservative Voters Against Paul Ryan

We have witnessed many a crude and hate-filled attempt this year to win over voters in Republican primaries.  Donald Trump has built an entire campaign based on fear, racism, nativism, and xenophobia,  The more that some Americans can feel pitted against others in the nation the stronger Trump assumes his chances are at winning the White House.  (Polls, of course, show that is not working.)

Sadly, it is not only Trump who is making a plea for narrow-minded voters.  The Republican challenging House Speaker Paul Ryan has proudly stated this nation should debate deporting all Muslims.

It is simply one of the most undemocratic and low-brow attempts for votes I can recall being uttered from a congressional candidate in this state during my lifetime.  It is indeed a sad time to be a politico while such antics play out.

Republican candidate Paul Nehlen wants a discussion about deporting Muslims and added when asked whether he would support deporting every Muslim from the country. “I am absolutely suggesting we figure out how do we, we — here’s what we should be doing. We should be monitoring every mosque. We should be monitoring all social media.”  He added that Muslims could not be trusted to abide by the U.S. Constitution
There are so many things wrong with his views I am not sure where to start.
First, one of the strengths we have is that our nation assimilates Muslims into all layers of society and welcomes them as citizens and residents.  The problem in some European countries is the lack of such social binding which can then breed mistrust and deep anger.
By sowing seeds of separation we are also cutting cords with those in the Muslim community who wish for modernity to further develop among those of their faith, and who wish to work with law enforcement in our country.
We must not allow for the idea that this nation is at war with Islam to in any way gain traction.  But the ideas of Trump on the national stage and with the mimicking language from Nehlan poses dangers to our nation.  If those two rabble-rousers were serious minded individuals they would know such political rhetoric endangers national security and emboldens the militants of the Islamic State.
But they do not care as the only mission they have is to stir the pot in hopes of securing a few more votes.
The rest of us know that such rhetoric violates the Constitution of the United States.  Such thinking and campaigning have no place in America and it must be stressed that these bigoted views represent a small and ever-shrinking pool of angry white males who feel they have somehow lost control of their personal goals, social norms, and demographic standing.  So to compensate they lash out at ‘the other’ among us.
I am old-fashioned enough to still firmly believe that our politics should draw from the deepest values of the people in this nation.  Doing so means we never play to fear, hate, bigotry, raw nationalism, or the base nature of man.  Instead we always look up, out, and forward.
The morning after the election when Nehlan is left with only a headline in the paper reporting him a loser he still must face himself in the mirror and know he played dirty and small.  That will surely sting more than the outcome of the votes cast.
And it will be his legacy, politically speaking.

Paul Ryan Strikes Back At Donald Trump–But Needs To Juggle Carefully

I asked the question on this blog when would House Speaker Paul Ryan attempt to save himself from the stain of Donald Trump?

Today we have an answer.

In a radio interview Ryan did repeat his endorsement of GOP nominee Trump but then added for clarity that it was “not a blank check”.    Ryan continued in his comments to push back on Trump’s mean comments and bizarre campaign style over the past days.

He’s had a pretty strange run since the convention.  You would think that we want to be focusing on Hillary Clinton, on all of her deficiencies. She is such a weak candidate that one would think that we would be on offense against Hillary Clinton, and it is distressing that that’s not what we’re talking about these days.

Many have questioned why Trump failed to take on Clinton over the latest economic news or speak to other topics of the day as opposed to attacking a Gold Star family. There is a real disconnect from the way traditional campaigning has taken place and where this nation now finds itself with Trump.

In the interview it was clear Ryan is unsettled with how things are playing out, as with the verbal attacks from Trump on the Khan family.  Ryan stated this was “beyond the pale.”

You don’t do that to Gold Star families.  If anyone has earned the right to say whatever they want, it is Gold Star families.

It was telling that Ryan is not yet ready to cross the Rubicon.  He is after all third in line for the presidency, has a house caucus to consider, and I sincerely feel is mindful of the needs of the nation.

So his response to how things might flow in the future given how Trump remains so unstable speaks to all the concerns he must juggle.

I don’t like doing this; I don’t want to do this.  But I will do this because I feel I have to in order to defend Republicans and our principles so that people don’t make the mistake of thinking we think like that.

I have said it before and repeat again now.  The place Ryan now finds himself is not to be envied.  There is a high moral road he could take–an easy one for most of us to see.  But the majority the GOP holds in the House may not be sustainable if a very careful balancing act is not now played by Ryan.

Politically speaking, it simply is not as easy to maneuver as some would make it seem.  I clearly have some definite views about Trump and the issues of this campaign.  But I do not need to worry about the requirements of members of congress in some very tough districts who count on me to lead the way to a majority win in the fall.    I do not need to meet the public test every day as a grounding force nationally as a house speaker does.

I do not need to somehow square the circle daily to meet those requirements as Ryan does.  I may not agree with his chosen path at times but am aware of how tough it is.

What Are Hillary Clinton’s Chances Of Winning In November?

Very Good.

Hillary Clinton Takes Off In The Polls–‘Rules Of The Road’ Apply For 2016

Everything is taking place like many thought it would following the Democratic Convention.  In spite of a most weird and very unusual political season–and I am sure more is to follow prior to Election Day–I still hold that in our politics the basic rules of the road still apply.  I have been saying that this entire year.

What is being demonstrated from a whole array of new polling following the Democratic Convention is that Hillary Clinton has more than the average bump that most nominees attain from such a week.  The significant post-convention bounce looks like it could mean a lead of the type that remains for the duration of the campaign.

Consider the data and it is quite telling.

A new Franklin and Marshall College poll of Pennsylvania shows Clinton with an 11 point lead over Trump, 49 percent to 38 percent.

A Detroit News/WDIV-TV poll of Michigan voters finds a nine point lead for Clinton, 41 percent to 32 percent.

A poll from WBUR/MassINC poll shows Clinton opening up a 15 point lead over the GOP nominee in New Hampshire, 47 percent to 32 percent.

This week we also had polls this week from NBC News|SurveyMonkey (Clinton +8), CNN/ORC (Clinton +9) and FOX News (Clinton +10).

There is even a poll in Iowa that shows one must-win congressional district that the GOP need to win in order to take the state has Clinton up 13 points.

To me this looks like the rules of the road I have talked are taking place this cycle.  By that I mean, in part, where solid performance and a steady hand are more important than bombast.  Where primary outsiders get marginalized by a more diverse general election type voter. Where the sturdy and steady ways of campaigning and organizing state by state still are needed—and this is where Trump has failed miserably.

On top of all this polling has been the most chaotic and mean-spirited week yet from Trump and his campaign.  That all will be reflected in this coming week’s polls when Trump will look even weaker and smaller.

The race for 2016 will be one for the history books but in the end the political rules we all have seen play out before will take control again.  The large center of American rationality will still be the dominant force in November.