How Donald Trump Loses The Election
Much of this is the same as it has been for weeks. The news with this summary is that Donald Trump’s slippage in the battleground states is to the degree they are no longer fixable.
I would add that after several Marquette Law School polls that are the best in the state for getting the feel and mood of the electorate with the latest showing Hillary Clinton with a sizable lead–and since Wisconsin has not voted for a GOP candidate for president since 1984–I think the pale blue for my state is just not accurate. The suburbs outside Milwaukee which should be deep red are not polling that deep hue with Trump at the top of the ticket. Wisconsin will be deep blue on Election Night.
Donald Trump appears to be drowning in the wake of the conventions.
The GOP presidential nominee was in a precarious electoral position even before the conventions because of his high unfavorable ratings and penchant for controversial remarks. The four days in Cleveland were supposed to unite the GOP but appear to have done the opposite, as Trump has lost ground to Hillary Clinton in national and swing-state polls.
While the overall numbers in the Electoral College haven’t changed, certain key states appear to be slipping out of Trump’s reach while a few reliably Republican states are coming into play. We’re changing the ratings in seven states toward Clinton and just one in Trump’s direction.
Based on more recent presidential elections and demographic trends, any GOP nominee already faced an uphill battle in the Electoral College by needing to win Ohio, Florida, Virginia, and Colorado. With less than three months before Election Day, Trump’s path is rapidly evaporating as he falls behind in battleground states.
Here is a summary of the recent changes: Arizona: From Republican Favored to Leans RepublicanColorado: From Tilts Democrat to Leans DemocraticGeorgia: From Republican Favored to Leans RepublicanNevada: From Democrat Favored to Leans DemocraticNew Hampshire: From Tilts Democrat to Leans DemocraticNew Mexico: Democrat Favored to Safe DemocratOregon: Democrat Favored to Safe DemocratVirginia: From Tilts Democrat to Leans Democratic