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Democratic Energy On Display Nationwide

April 25, 2018

Debbie Lesko may have succeeded at keeping a conservative Arizona congressional district in GOP hands, but her slim margin of victory last night — just 6 percentage points over her Democratic rival – might be too close for comfort for some Republicans ahead of November’s midterm elections.

The GOP has every right to be nervous.

Democratic energy has been on vivid display in a series of special elections since Trump’s inauguration, including in strongly conservative areas where Republicans usually win elections easily, like Arizona’s Eighth District.  That is what I am sure is keeping the Republican strategists up late at night.

Lesko’s win, as an example, in the conservative Arizona district shows the problem.  The narrow victory looks weak considering Trump won the district with about 20%,  Put the Lesko win in a different perspective and it looks even worse. Consider the victory margin of Trent Franks, who beat his opponent in that congressional district by 37 points in 2016, but resigned amid scandal. Last night in the district  Republican support dropped in nearly all precincts.  When Republican candidates like Lesko have run in recent special elections and won they have done so by sharply reduced margins.

Congressional seats that Republicans defended easily in 2016 — in Georgia, South Carolina and elsewhere — have barely stayed in Republican hands.

That is why the GOP is losing sleep.

One Comment
  1. Solly permalink
    April 25, 2018 12:54 PM

    “That is why the GOP is losing sleep.” Well, at least the Dumbocrats were relaxed and asleep at the switch. The DCCC did diddly squat in comparison. I guess they thought “we don’t need no stinkin’ seat that was polling tied and to replace a Repugnant incumbent who resigned in disgrace. We’re getting 1/10th % interest on our money in the bank. ” That and the fact that support for education is a big issue in AZ right now and could have been mobilized for the Dem. candidate. From a local TV station – “outside Republican groups that pumped more than $1 million into the contest for a mix of media and turnout services.”

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