Mmmmmm….not so fast.
After two years of campaigning in the latest most consequential election of our lifetimes, Election Night could be a huge letdown. The disappointment is not about which party prevails Nov. 6, but the reality that a combination of close races and West coast contests could prevent enough races from being called to determine majorities in Congress until days later.
In the Senate, more than 10 races could finish within single digits, and a handful of those contests look like they’re neck and neck. The close margins could make it difficult for media outlets to project a winner on Election Night. Since Republicans have just a two-seat majority, every Senate race matters, so anything left uncalled could make it difficult to figure out who will control the chamber next year.
Even if all the races are called, the special election in Mississippi is likely to go to overtime. Neither former Democratic Rep. Mike Espy nor appointed-GOP Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith is likely to receive a majority of the vote on Nov. 6, since candidates from both parties appear on the same ballot, which will include Republican state Sen. Chris McDaniel. So the race will move to a Nov. 27 runoff.