Stats Show Why Democrats Will Win White House In 2016


This is the argument I have been making for years about why the GOP needed to better invest in immigration reform.  From today’s conservative Wall Street Journal comes one of the essential political reads.

In 2012, Mitt Romney won a whopping 59% of the white vote, more than either John McCain in 2008 or George W. Bush in 2004. But Mr. Romney won only 17% of the non-white vote, less than either Mr. McCain in 2008 or Mr. Bush in 2004. Net result: comfortable Democratic win.

Fast forward to 2016, when the white share of the vote will be smaller and the Hispanic share larger, and Mr. Ayres calculates that a Republican who wins the same 59% share of the white vote that Mr. Romney took will have to take 30% of the non-white vote—almost twice the share Mr. Romney took—to win the election.

“Republicans can complain about these trends, wring their hands over them, and get heartburn as a result,” writes Mr. Ayres, who now is polling for the presidential effort of Sen. Marco Rubio. “What they can’t do is change them.”

2 thoughts on “Stats Show Why Democrats Will Win White House In 2016

  1. I believe the support of minorities for Democrats is simple. Conservatives try to do what is in the best interest for America while Democrats will pander to minorities with entitlements and support the illegal access so many from Central America want into the United States, regardless if they are breaking our laws or not. Its an easy choice for minorities continue on the path of dependence on government or start working on fitting into America and thrive for self reliance. Of course they will take the path of less resistance, and Democrats are the ones who will gladly provide it, no matter how much damage this cause to the moral fiber of this once great country.

  2. First of all your premise is totally wrong, and the facts show why you wrong. Immigrants are not a drag on the economy, nor is it true that they are not fitting into the country.
    Among working-age men, immigrants are more likely to be working than people like you and others were born here. The stats that have generated much discussion as of late shows that immigrants who came here without documents participate in the labor market at a higher percentage than those who are documented and over 10% than folks like you who were born here. As has long been the case immigrants show a greater entrepreneurial spirit than folks likes you who were born here. In a 2012 report, the Partnership for a New American Economy notes this: “Over the last 15 years, while native-born Americans have become less likely to start a business, immigrants have steadily picked up the slack. Immigrants are now more than twice as likely as the native-born to start a business and were responsible for more than one in every four (28 percent) U.S. businesses founded in 2011, significantly outpacing their share of the population (12.9 percent).”
    Immigration is not a cause for a drain on the economy—in fact just the opposite.
    Immigrant-owned businesses in the U.S. generate more than $775 billion in sales and pay more than $126 billion in payroll each year. Much of that prosperity derives from exports—“immigrant-owned businesses are more than 60 percent more likely to export than non-immigrant businesses,” says the report—which makes perfect sense (who better than a Guatemalan native to sell U.S. goods in Guatemala?).

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