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Time To Calm Democrats Down About Presidential Election

June 2, 2016

The sky is not falling when it comes to the presidential election of Hillary Clinton no matter what some may claim to be feeling.

Is there a bitter fight under way from Bernie Sanders and his supporters?  Yes.

Does it mean that Hillary Clinton will not be the nominee?  No.

Does this dismay that some are feeling in any way mean Donald Trump becomes the next person to sit in the Oval Office?  No.

Come Tuesday night Clinton will have the needed delegates to be nominated at this summer’s Democratic National Convention.  Soon thereafter President Obama will ad his endorsement to Clinton and as some like to say it is ‘Game on’!

There is no doubt that since mid-March, when the math–or should I be even more plain by saying simple arithmetic–proved there was no way for Sanders to win the nomination,  the continued assault by the Sanders team has made for very tough polling for Clinton.    No one needs to fudge the truth.  Sanders did everything in his power to purposely undermine and weaken the eventual nominee.

What once had been a significant advantage by Clinton over Trump in national polls vanished.  More worrisome for those who follow politics the polls in several key battleground states showed dead heats.  So it was natural that there were all sorts of doomsayers who wanted us to think Sanders was the only person who could save the Democrats–the irony lost only on the most staunch of his cult followers.

But I have not ever subscribed to that way of viewing this race.  I tend to look at the long game of elections.  Let us be clear about where we are today.

Clinton is ahead  with the national RealClear polling average placing her lead at +1.5.   I admit that is razor thin.  But it also needs to be placed in the context that the GOP vote is mostly consolidated around Trump, and Bernie is still trying to find a tutor in arithmetic.  The drag on Clinton from Sanders will end once his fancy turns to other pursuits such as filling out those taxes that he has put off so not needing to show them to the public.

If Trump can not now with all the tumult that is taking place in the Democratic primary season bounce ahead of  Clinton it seems a good time to ask when might it ever happen?   With a general electorate that is going to find every reason under the sun to be outraged over Trump there is no reason not to be optimistic about the long-term direction of the Clinton campaign.

So my fellow Democrats relax and take a walk and enjoy the sunshine.    We have work to do but every reason for confidence.

One Comment leave one →
  1. Margy Rydzynski permalink
    June 2, 2016 5:24 PM

    Good points. I think you’re right in your analysis. I’m going to be a Clinton voter, but I also do like Sanders and I like the influence he’s had on the too-staid Democratic Party. That’s just my opinion, but I see it as a good sign, both for the presidency as well as for the down-ticket races.

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